指定の条件で対面勝率をシミュレートします。PPに制限がないので想定するターンを期待値としてください。
Colaboratory にアクセスしてソースコードを実行してください。
https://colab.research.google.com/
分類 | 技 |
---|---|
07 | じばく |
09 | オウムがえし |
1A | がまん |
1B | あばれる |
1C | ふきとばし |
51 | いかり |
52 | ものまね |
53 | ゆびをふる |
56 | かなしばり |
5A | アンコール |
5D | テクスチャー2 |
5E | こころのめ |
5F | スケッチ |
62 | みちづれ |
64 | うらみ |
6A | クモのす |
70 | まきびし |
72 | ほろびのうた |
7E | バトンタッチ |
99 | テレポート |
9A | ふくろだたき |
分類 | GB | N64 | PBS | 仕様 |
---|---|---|---|---|
255 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 破壊の遺伝子のターン数 | |
2-7 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 眠りのターン数 | |
a-b | a-b | b-a | 凍り(a)・怯み(b)の優先度 | |
2D | 1/8 | 1/8 | 1/4 | 飛び蹴り系の反動ダメージ量 |
63 | ○ | ○ | ○ | じたばたの威力範囲 |
7A | ○ | ○ | ○ | プレゼントのダメージ量 |
7A | 1/4 | 1/4 | 80 | プレゼントの回復量 |
○ | オーバーフロー | |||
26 | ○ | 一撃外れのカウンター | ||
45 | ○ | 溶解液で身代わり破壊から追加効果を発生 | ||
8E | ○ | 腹太鼓でHP1/2以下のとき攻撃ランク+2 | ||
39 | ○ | 変身のコピー範囲 | ||
○ | 混乱のダメージ乱数 | |||
○ | 255/256の追加効果を必ず発生 | |||
30 -A | ○ | 突進で身代わりに反動ダメージなし | ||
30 -B | ○ | わるあがきの持ち物・タイプ一致の補正 身代わり・ゴーストタイプに反動ダメージなし | ||
66 | ○ | 癒しの鈴で猛毒ターンをリセット | ||
68 | ○ | トリプルキックの乗算バグ | ||
77 | ○ | 連続斬りの上限なし | ||
81 | ○ | 高速スピンを外しても解除 |
起きている状態の寝言、身代わり状態で身代わり、これら無駄行動のため繰り出す技を代替します。30ターンの100000回を試行で約 4 分程度かかります。
HP n % 以上か同速以上で倒せる場合に技1,その他は生存を優先します。[ねむる]はリストになくても代替します。
カイリキーは理想個体かつロロノア型(寝言で選ばれない技を持つ),スイクンは急所や2発分の高乱数のリスクを受けて中乱数(光の粉・ピントレンズ=32, 神秘の雫=35)で押し切るバランスが数値上で優秀でした。連続する技を p1_waza のように記述できます。 カイリキーの技構成とスイクンの持ち物
# ロロノア vs ひかりのこな じしん込み vs ひかりのこな ロロノア vs ピントレンズ じしん込み vs ピントレンズ ロロノア vs しんぴのしずく じしん込み vs しんぴのしずく * 53.80% - 46.20% 44.04% - 55.96% 49.11% - 50.89% 41.27% - 58.73% 29.77% - 70.23% 27.11% - 72.89% * 30512 - 26203 - 43285 24967 - 31728 - 43305 32864 - 34059 - 33077 28759 - 40928 - 30313 25155 - 59341 - 15504 22464 - 60388 - 17148 1 0.00% - 0.00% - 100.00% 0.00% - 0.00% - 100.00% 0.00% - 0.00% - 100.00% 0.00% - 0.00% - 100.00% 0.00% - 0.00% - 100.00% 0.00% - 0.00% - 100.00% 2 0.36% - 0.19% - 99.45% 0.38% - 0.22% - 99.40% 0.37% - 0.57% - 99.06% 0.37% - 0.55% - 99.08% 0.00% - 3.28% - 96.72% 0.00% - 3.36% - 96.64% 3 2.08% - 0.55% - 97.37% 1.75% - 0.56% - 97.69% 2.54% - 1.09% - 96.37% 2.03% - 1.13% - 96.85% 2.12% - 3.89% - 94.00% 1.68% - 4.07% - 94.25% 4 3.51% - 1.15% - 95.34% 2.60% - 1.31% - 96.09% 4.12% - 2.45% - 93.43% 3.11% - 3.02% - 93.87% 3.78% - 7.32% - 88.90% 2.66% - 8.91% - 88.43% 5 4.82% - 3.30% - 91.88% 3.41% - 4.08% - 92.52% 5.58% - 5.14% - 89.28% 4.11% - 6.93% - 88.96% 5.18% - 14.12% - 80.69% 3.54% - 18.24% - 78.22% 6 6.17% - 4.65% - 89.18% 4.36% - 5.62% - 90.02% 7.18% - 6.88% - 85.94% 5.29% - 9.16% - 85.55% 6.66% - 18.32% - 75.02% 4.63% - 22.50% - 72.87% 7 7.57% - 5.86% - 86.57% 5.39% - 6.97% - 87.64% 8.70% - 8.59% - 82.71% 6.54% - 11.25% - 82.21% 8.05% - 21.86% - 70.09% 5.67% - 25.78% - 68.55% 8 8.88% - 6.99% - 84.13% 6.42% - 8.32% - 85.26% 10.26% - 10.05% - 79.69% 7.92% - 13.10% - 78.98% 9.36% - 24.81% - 65.83% 6.86% - 28.51% - 64.63% 9 10.21% - 8.10% - 81.69% 7.52% - 9.62% - 82.86% 11.74% - 11.51% - 76.75% 9.31% - 14.84% - 75.84% 10.68% - 27.55% - 61.77% 8.13% - 31.04% - 60.83% 10 11.46% - 9.15% - 79.39% 8.64% - 10.89% - 80.47% 13.17% - 12.95% - 73.88% 10.76% - 16.65% - 72.59% 11.95% - 30.29% - 57.76% 9.29% - 33.36% - 57.35% 11 12.74% - 10.23% - 77.03% 9.71% - 12.18% - 78.11% 14.57% - 14.42% - 71.01% 12.07% - 18.29% - 69.64% 13.09% - 32.74% - 54.17% 10.38% - 35.55% - 54.06% 12 13.94% - 11.37% - 74.70% 10.74% - 13.50% - 75.75% 15.92% - 15.94% - 68.14% 13.36% - 19.98% - 66.66% 14.15% - 35.12% - 50.73% 11.43% - 37.67% - 50.90% 13 15.14% - 12.43% - 72.43% 11.73% - 14.82% - 73.45% 17.21% - 17.38% - 65.41% 14.58% - 21.68% - 63.74% 15.13% - 37.26% - 47.61% 12.38% - 39.69% - 47.93% 14 16.27% - 13.49% - 70.24% 12.74% - 16.11% - 71.15% 18.47% - 18.79% - 62.73% 15.71% - 23.24% - 61.05% 16.10% - 39.37% - 44.53% 13.30% - 41.60% - 45.11% 15 17.41% - 14.50% - 68.09% 13.75% - 17.33% - 68.92% 19.68% - 20.02% - 60.29% 16.81% - 24.79% - 58.40% 16.99% - 41.39% - 41.62% 14.13% - 43.33% - 42.55% 16 18.48% - 15.43% - 66.10% 14.71% - 18.48% - 66.81% 20.81% - 21.29% - 57.90% 17.82% - 26.18% - 55.99% 17.84% - 43.23% - 38.94% 14.90% - 45.07% - 40.03% 17 19.58% - 16.36% - 64.05% 15.56% - 19.66% - 64.77% 21.90% - 22.49% - 55.61% 18.85% - 27.54% - 53.61% 18.63% - 44.87% - 36.51% 15.65% - 46.67% - 37.67% 18 20.52% - 17.29% - 62.19% 16.42% - 20.77% - 62.80% 22.99% - 23.60% - 53.41% 19.82% - 28.89% - 51.29% 19.36% - 46.50% - 34.14% 16.35% - 48.15% - 35.50% 19 21.52% - 18.17% - 60.31% 17.25% - 21.83% - 60.92% 24.03% - 24.68% - 51.29% 20.72% - 30.21% - 49.07% 20.06% - 47.97% - 31.97% 17.04% - 49.51% - 33.45% 20 22.46% - 18.99% - 58.55% 18.06% - 22.89% - 59.05% 24.99% - 25.74% - 49.27% 21.64% - 31.44% - 46.92% 20.68% - 49.39% - 29.93% 17.71% - 50.84% - 31.44% 21 23.41% - 19.80% - 56.80% 18.86% - 23.93% - 57.20% 25.88% - 26.75% - 47.38% 22.54% - 32.54% - 44.92% 21.28% - 50.67% - 28.05% 18.34% - 52.09% - 29.57% 22 24.26% - 20.58% - 55.16% 19.61% - 24.91% - 55.48% 26.82% - 27.70% - 45.48% 23.36% - 33.65% - 42.98% 21.84% - 51.90% - 26.26% 18.94% - 53.26% - 27.80% 23 25.15% - 21.38% - 53.47% 20.32% - 25.79% - 53.89% 27.71% - 28.63% - 43.66% 24.13% - 34.70% - 41.17% 22.37% - 53.02% - 24.61% 19.47% - 54.38% - 26.15% 24 25.99% - 22.15% - 51.86% 21.03% - 26.68% - 52.29% 28.49% - 29.48% - 42.03% 24.94% - 35.68% - 39.38% 22.85% - 54.10% - 23.05% 19.98% - 55.39% - 24.63% 25 26.79% - 22.87% - 50.35% 21.74% - 27.59% - 50.67% 29.27% - 30.33% - 40.40% 25.67% - 36.67% - 37.66% 23.28% - 55.14% - 21.59% 20.45% - 56.34% - 23.22% 26 27.58% - 23.58% - 48.84% 22.43% - 28.51% - 49.07% 30.04% - 31.18% - 38.78% 26.38% - 37.59% - 36.03% 23.70% - 56.03% - 20.27% 20.88% - 57.26% - 21.86% 27 28.34% - 24.26% - 47.40% 23.09% - 29.35% - 47.56% 30.77% - 31.94% - 37.28% 26.98% - 38.49% - 34.54% 24.09% - 56.94% - 18.97% 21.28% - 58.13% - 20.59% 28 29.07% - 24.93% - 46.01% 23.73% - 30.15% - 46.12% 31.50% - 32.65% - 35.84% 27.61% - 39.30% - 33.08% 24.47% - 57.79% - 17.73% 21.68% - 58.91% - 19.41% 29 29.78% - 25.56% - 44.66% 24.36% - 30.94% - 44.70% 32.20% - 33.39% - 34.41% 28.19% - 40.14% - 31.67% 24.83% - 58.60% - 16.56% 22.09% - 59.69% - 18.23% 30 30.51% - 26.20% - 43.29% 24.97% - 31.73% - 43.30% 32.86% - 34.06% - 33.08% 28.76% - 40.93% - 30.31% 25.16% - 59.34% - 15.50% 22.46% - 60.39% - 17.15%
同速以上で身代わりが残った場合のみ[技2]を起点と解釈します。[みがわり]はリストになくても代替します。同速未満は[自分の HP が n % 以上]かつ[技1]の代替に留めており有用な事象が見つかれば変更します。
10万回の試行で,turn 8: 34.77% - 65.10% - 0.13% と算出されました。光の粉で身代わりが複数回で残る可能性があるため,[みがわり]を多めに並べることを推奨します。p1_waza のように羅列して記述できます。
キュウコンはメロメロから[みがわり]を優先、すでに身代わり状態なら[あやしいひかり],さらに混乱状態なら[かえんほうしゃ]を選択、カビゴンは HP n % 以上で[すてみタックル],未満で[ねむる]ルートに入ります。検証の結果 n=40 が最適でした。p1_waza のように組み合わせて記述できます。 カビゴンが眠るべきHPライン
# HP 60 % 未満で ねむる HP 50 % 未満で ねむる HP 40 % 未満で ねむる HP 30 % 未満で ねむる HP 20 % 未満で ねむる 眠らない * 53.57% - 46.43% 49.62% - 50.38% 48.77% - 51.23% 48.97% - 51.03% 50.25% - 49.75% 54.77% - 45.23% * 36743 - 31848 - 31409 37469 - 38046 - 24485 39977 - 41994 - 18029 42998 - 44806 - 12196 46620 - 46155 - 7225 54738 - 45211 - 51 1 0.00% - 2.59% - 97.41% 0.00% - 2.50% - 97.50% 0.00% - 2.50% - 97.50% 0.00% - 2.50% - 97.50% 0.00% - 2.48% - 97.52% 0.00% - 2.49% - 97.51% 2 0.00% - 2.98% - 97.02% 0.00% - 2.93% - 97.07% 0.00% - 2.90% - 97.10% 0.00% - 2.88% - 97.12% 0.00% - 2.86% - 97.14% 0.00% - 2.85% - 97.15% 3 0.00% - 3.04% - 96.96% 0.00% - 3.08% - 96.92% 0.00% - 3.09% - 96.91% 0.00% - 3.05% - 96.95% 0.00% - 3.08% - 96.92% 0.00% - 3.08% - 96.92% 4 0.00% - 8.88% - 91.12% 0.00% - 8.86% - 91.14% 0.00% - 8.90% - 91.10% 0.00% - 8.92% - 91.08% 0.00% - 9.09% - 90.91% 0.00% - 9.02% - 90.98% 5 0.00% - 12.50% - 87.50% 0.00% - 12.82% - 87.18% 0.01% - 12.97% - 87.02% 0.00% - 13.05% - 86.95% 0.00% - 13.19% - 86.81% 0.00% - 13.22% - 86.78% 6 0.06% - 14.72% - 85.22% 0.06% - 15.43% - 84.52% 0.06% - 15.58% - 84.36% 0.07% - 15.78% - 84.15% 0.05% - 15.90% - 84.04% 0.05% - 16.01% - 83.94% 7 0.76% - 16.49% - 82.75% 0.72% - 17.27% - 82.01% 0.76% - 17.64% - 81.59% 0.80% - 17.84% - 81.36% 0.77% - 18.08% - 81.15% 0.78% - 18.09% - 81.12% 8 2.07% - 18.63% - 79.30% 2.18% - 20.42% - 77.40% 2.24% - 21.09% - 76.67% 2.32% - 21.51% - 76.18% 2.33% - 21.90% - 75.78% 2.55% - 22.03% - 75.42% 9 4.46% - 20.79% - 74.74% 4.74% - 23.13% - 72.14% 5.17% - 24.56% - 70.28% 5.47% - 25.55% - 68.98% 5.88% - 26.17% - 67.94% 6.78% - 26.64% - 66.57% 10 7.04% - 22.18% - 70.77% 7.80% - 25.07% - 67.13% 8.58% - 26.77% - 64.66% 9.24% - 28.07% - 62.69% 10.22% - 28.97% - 60.81% 12.27% - 29.59% - 58.14% 11 9.33% - 22.53% - 68.14% 10.41% - 25.59% - 64.00% 11.58% - 27.52% - 60.90% 12.92% - 28.97% - 58.12% 14.48% - 30.01% - 55.51% 18.03% - 30.78% - 51.19% 12 11.39% - 23.61% - 65.00% 12.65% - 26.92% - 60.42% 14.37% - 29.23% - 56.39% 16.12% - 31.05% - 52.83% 18.47% - 32.39% - 49.15% 23.61% - 33.48% - 42.91% 13 13.30% - 24.81% - 61.89% 14.78% - 28.55% - 56.67% 16.98% - 31.05% - 51.97% 19.21% - 33.22% - 47.57% 22.12% - 34.80% - 43.09% 28.99% - 36.40% - 34.61% 14 15.12% - 25.49% - 59.39% 16.89% - 29.53% - 53.58% 19.22% - 32.39% - 48.39% 21.94% - 34.92% - 43.15% 25.35% - 36.66% - 37.99% 33.59% - 38.53% - 27.88% 15 16.88% - 25.77% - 57.35% 18.69% - 29.91% - 51.41% 21.18% - 32.79% - 46.03% 24.16% - 35.33% - 40.51% 27.95% - 37.14% - 34.90% 37.40% - 39.09% - 23.52% 16 18.58% - 26.41% - 55.01% 20.30% - 30.80% - 48.89% 23.01% - 33.84% - 43.15% 26.15% - 36.45% - 37.40% 30.34% - 38.44% - 31.22% 41.05% - 40.48% - 18.47% 17 20.19% - 27.14% - 52.68% 21.95% - 31.79% - 46.26% 24.82% - 35.07% - 40.12% 28.09% - 37.77% - 34.14% 32.58% - 39.77% - 27.65% 44.38% - 41.90% - 13.72% 18 21.85% - 27.69% - 50.46% 23.53% - 32.53% - 43.94% 26.50% - 35.97% - 37.52% 29.99% - 38.69% - 31.32% 34.65% - 40.80% - 24.55% 46.98% - 43.03% - 9.99% 19 23.33% - 27.93% - 48.74% 25.02% - 32.83% - 42.15% 28.01% - 36.30% - 35.70% 31.60% - 39.06% - 29.33% 36.20% - 41.13% - 22.67% 48.74% - 43.27% - 8.00% 20 24.80% - 28.40% - 46.79% 26.38% - 33.52% - 40.10% 29.40% - 37.04% - 33.55% 33.06% - 39.89% - 27.05% 37.63% - 41.87% - 20.50% 50.28% - 43.89% - 5.83% 21 26.20% - 28.96% - 44.84% 27.75% - 34.26% - 37.99% 30.79% - 37.91% - 31.30% 34.42% - 40.76% - 24.81% 39.03% - 42.68% - 18.29% 51.67% - 44.44% - 3.90% 22 27.54% - 29.37% - 43.09% 29.03% - 34.86% - 36.11% 32.14% - 38.52% - 29.35% 35.74% - 41.44% - 22.82% 40.30% - 43.30% - 16.40% 52.72% - 44.78% - 2.50% 23 28.87% - 29.58% - 41.55% 30.25% - 35.13% - 34.62% 33.28% - 38.77% - 27.94% 36.90% - 41.72% - 21.38% 41.34% - 43.53% - 15.13% 53.27% - 44.84% - 1.88% 24 30.17% - 29.98% - 39.85% 31.38% - 35.65% - 32.97% 34.38% - 39.40% - 26.22% 38.01% - 42.27% - 19.73% 42.28% - 44.01% - 13.71% 53.72% - 44.97% - 1.31% 25 31.46% - 30.39% - 38.15% 32.51% - 36.17% - 31.32% 35.49% - 40.00% - 24.51% 39.01% - 42.87% - 18.11% 43.22% - 44.57% - 12.21% 54.12% - 45.07% - 0.81% 26 32.65% - 30.74% - 36.61% 33.54% - 36.64% - 29.82% 36.48% - 40.53% - 22.98% 40.00% - 43.38% - 16.62% 44.11% - 45.01% - 10.88% 54.43% - 45.14% - 0.43% 27 33.76% - 30.92% - 35.32% 34.58% - 36.84% - 28.58% 37.41% - 40.71% - 21.88% 40.80% - 43.58% - 15.62% 44.82% - 45.19% - 9.99% 54.54% - 45.15% - 0.31% 28 34.78% - 31.21% - 34.01% 35.62% - 37.22% - 27.16% 38.30% - 41.14% - 20.56% 41.56% - 43.99% - 14.45% 45.44% - 45.52% - 9.05% 54.62% - 45.18% - 0.19% 29 35.81% - 31.56% - 32.64% 36.53% - 37.67% - 25.80% 39.11% - 41.60% - 19.28% 42.34% - 44.43% - 13.23% 46.08% - 45.84% - 8.09% 54.68% - 45.20% - 0.11% 30 36.74% - 31.85% - 31.41% 37.47% - 38.05% - 24.48% 39.98% - 41.99% - 18.03% 43.00% - 44.81% - 12.20% 46.62% - 46.16% - 7.22% 54.74% - 45.21% - 0.05%