クロスチョップ
結果
3回のクロスチョップで確4を倒す確率は、ピントレンズ(39.8%)，ピントレンズ・光の粉(30.9%)，フラット(31.7%)，光の粉(24.2%)
検証
 | 50 | カイリキー | 196 | クロスチョップ | FFFF |
 | 50 | スイクン | 206 | 波乗り | 1FFF |
- クロスチョップ (204/256)
- 急所 (17/256)
- 急所ランク+2 (64/256)
ダメージ一覧
| 通常 | 急所 | 確定数 |
|---|
| クロスチョップ | 62～67～73 | 122～133～144 | 3(22.43%) |
| （黒帯） | 67～73～79 | 132～144～156 | 3(98.27%) |
| 波乗り | 57～62～67 | 112～122～132 | 3(1.4%) |
| （神秘の雫） | 62～67～73 | 122～133～144 | 3(83.18%) |
確定数は急所や命中率を含まない。
確定4発を倒す確率
| カイリキー | 53スイクン | #2 | #3 | #4 |
|---|
| ピントレンズ | * | 7.00% | 39.86% | 70.97% |
| ピントレンズ | 光の粉 | 5.68% | 30.94% | 58.76% |
| * | * | 3.97% | 31.67% | 65.11% |
| * | 光の粉 | 3.22% | 24.17% | 52.39% |
無抵抗の53スイクンでシミュレート。期待値と近似した。
持ち物によるカイリキーとスイクンの対面勝率
| カイリキー | スイクン | #2 | #3 | #4 |
|---|
| 黒帯 | * | 25.62% - 0.68% | 57.82% - 14.89% | 57.82% - 42.18% |
| 黒帯 | ピントレンズ | 25.18% - 2.01% | 51.69% - 25.71% | 51.69% - 48.31% |
| 黒帯 | 光の粉 | 20.80% - 0.68% | 47.74% - 15.79% | 47.74% - 52.26% |
| ピントレンズ | * | 13.71% - 0.68% | 40.59% - 17.14% | 40.59% - 59.41% |
| ピントレンズ | ピントレンズ | 13.55% - 1.98% | 35.68% - 29.53% | 35.68% - 64.33% |
| 黄金の実 | * | 9.68% - 0.57% | 34.24% - 16.92% | 34.24% - 65.76% |
| * | * | 9.69% - 0.70% | 33.87% - 17.93% | 33.87% - 66.13% |
| * | ピントレンズ | 9.51% - 1.98% | 29.55% - 30.84% | 29.55% - 70.45% |
| ピントレンズ | 光の粉 | 11.14% - 0.68% | 32.67% - 17.61% | 32.67% - 67.33% |
| 黄金の実 | ピントレンズ | 9.57% - 1.77% | 29.79% - 29.92% | 29.79% - 70.21% |
| 黒帯 | 神秘の雫 | 23.40% - 9.11% | 28.89% - 66.47% | 28.89% - 71.11% |
| 黄金の実 | 光の粉 | 7.82% - 0.57% | 27.07% - 17.27% | 27.07% - 72.93% |
| * | 光の粉 | 7.82% - 0.68% | 26.95% - 18.22% | 26.95% - 73.05% |
| ピントレンズ | 神秘の雫 | 12.49% - 9.08% | 17.06% - 75.70% | 17.06% - 82.94% |
| 黄金の実 | 神秘の雫 | 8.82% - 9.07% | 12.96% - 78.83% | 12.96% - 87.04% |
| * | 神秘の雫 | 8.82% - 9.05% | 12.96% - 78.84% | 12.96% - 87.04% |
クロスチョップと波乗りを応酬した対面勝率のシミュレート。
期待値
クロスチョップを応酬したとき n 回中 m 回命中する確率。
命中率
| n/m | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|
| 1 | 20.3% | 79.7% | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
|---|
| 2 | 4.1% | 32.4% | 63.5% | * | * | * | * | * | * |
|---|
| 3 | 0.8% | 9.9% | 38.7% | 50.6% | * | * | * | * | * |
|---|
| 4 | 0.2% | 2.7% | 15.7% | 41.1% | 40.3% | * | * | * | * |
|---|
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.7% | 5.3% | 20.9% | 41.0% | 32.1% | * | * | * |
|---|
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 8.5% | 25.0% | 39.2% | 25.6% | * | * |
|---|
| 7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 3.0% | 11.8% | 27.8% | 36.4% | 20.4% | * |
|---|
| 8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 4.8% | 15.1% | 29.6% | 33.2% | 16.3% |
|---|
命中率（光の粉）
| n/m | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|
| 1 | 28.1% | 71.9% | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
|---|
| 2 | 7.9% | 40.4% | 51.7% | * | * | * | * | * | * |
|---|
| 3 | 2.2% | 17.1% | 43.6% | 37.1% | * | * | * | * | * |
|---|
| 4 | 0.6% | 6.4% | 24.5% | 41.8% | 26.7% | * | * | * | * |
|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 2.2% | 11.5% | 29.4% | 37.5% | 19.2% | * | * | * |
|---|
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.8% | 4.8% | 16.5% | 31.7% | 32.4% | 13.8% | * | * |
|---|
| 7 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.9% | 8.1% | 20.8% | 31.9% | 27.1% | 9.9% | * |
|---|
| 8 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 3.7% | 11.7% | 23.9% | 30.5% | 22.3% | 7.1% |
|---|
急所ランク+3（ピントレンズ）
| n/m | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 0<n |
|---|
| 1 | 66.8% | 33.2% | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 33.2% |
|---|
| 2 | 44.6% | 44.4% | 11.0% | * | * | * | * | * | * | 55.4% |
|---|
| 3 | 29.8% | 44.4% | 22.1% | 3.7% | * | * | * | * | * | 70.2% |
|---|
| 4 | 19.9% | 39.6% | 29.5% | 9.8% | 1.2% | * | * | * | * | 80.1% |
|---|
| 5 | 13.3% | 33.1% | 32.9% | 16.3% | 4.1% | 0.4% | * | * | * | 86.7% |
|---|
| 6 | 8.9% | 26.5% | 32.9% | 21.8% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | * | * | 91.1% |
|---|
| 7 | 5.9% | 20.6% | 30.8% | 25.5% | 12.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | * | 94.1% |
|---|
| 8 | 4.0% | 15.8% | 27.4% | 27.3% | 16.9% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 96.0% |
|---|
急所ランク+2
| n/m | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 0<n |
|---|
| 1 | 75.0% | 25.0% | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 25.0% |
|---|
| 2 | 56.3% | 37.5% | 6.3% | * | * | * | * | * | * | 43.8% |
|---|
| 3 | 42.2% | 42.2% | 14.1% | 1.6% | * | * | * | * | * | 57.8% |
|---|
| 4 | 31.6% | 42.2% | 21.1% | 4.7% | 0.4% | * | * | * | * | 68.4% |
|---|
| 5 | 23.7% | 39.6% | 26.4% | 8.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | * | * | * | 76.3% |
|---|
| 6 | 17.8% | 35.6% | 29.7% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | * | * | 82.2% |
|---|
| 7 | 13.3% | 31.1% | 31.1% | 17.3% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | * | 86.7% |
|---|
| 8 | 10.0% | 26.7% | 31.1% | 20.8% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 90.0% |
|---|
ピントレンズ
4発の分岐（ピントレンズ）
| n発分 | 外し | 命中 | 急所 | 命中分岐 | 急所分岐 | 全体分岐 |
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 40.3% | 19.9% | 8.0% |
| 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 40.3% | 39.6% | 16.0% |
| 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 40.3% | 29.5% | 11.9% |
| 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 40.3% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 40.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 41.1% | 29.8% | 12.3% |
| 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 41.1% | 44.4% | 18.3% |
| 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 41.1% | 22.1% | 9.1% |
| 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 41.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15.7% | 44.6% | 7.0% |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15.7% | 44.4% | 7.0% |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15.7% | 11.0% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2.7% | 66.8% | 1.8% |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2.7% | 33.2% | 0.9% |
| 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.2% | 100.0% | 0.2% |
4発の期待値（ピントレンズ）
| n発分 | 期待値 | 累計 |
|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100.0% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 99.8% |
| 2 | 7.9% | 98.0% |
| 3 | 19.2% | 90.1% |
| 4 | 28.0% | 70.9% |
| 5 | 25.0% | 42.9% |
| 6 | 13.4% | 17.8% |
| 7 | 3.9% | 4.4% |
| 8 | 0.5% | 0.5% |
3発の分岐（ピントレンズ）
| n発分 | 外し | 命中 | 急所 | 命中分岐 | 急所分岐 | 全体分岐 |
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 50.6% | 29.8% | 15.1% |
| 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 50.6% | 44.4% | 22.5% |
| 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 50.6% | 22.1% | 11.2% |
| 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 50.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 38.7% | 44.6% | 17.3% |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 38.7% | 44.4% | 17.2% |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 38.7% | 11.0% | 4.3% |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9.9% | 66.8% | 6.6% |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9.9% | 33.2% | 3.3% |
| 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.8% | 100.0% | 0.8% |
3発の期待値（ピントレンズ）
| n発分 | 期待値 | 累計 |
|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100.0% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 99.2% |
| 2 | 20.5% | 92.6% |
| 3 | 32.2% | 72.0% |
| 4 | 26.8% | 39.8% |
| 5 | 11.2% | 13.0% |
| 6 | 1.9% | 1.9% |
ピントレンズ・光の粉
4発の分岐（ピントレンズ・光の粉）
| n発分 | 外し | 命中 | 急所 | 命中分岐 | 急所分岐 | 全体分岐 |
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 26.7% | 19.9% | 5.3% |
| 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 26.7% | 39.6% | 10.6% |
| 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 26.7% | 29.5% | 7.9% |
| 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 2.6% |
| 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 26.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 41.8% | 29.8% | 12.4% |
| 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 41.8% | 44.4% | 18.6% |
| 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 41.8% | 22.1% | 9.2% |
| 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 41.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 24.5% | 44.6% | 10.9% |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 24.5% | 44.4% | 10.9% |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24.5% | 11.0% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.4% | 66.8% | 4.3% |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6.4% | 33.2% | 2.1% |
| 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.6% | 100.0% | 0.6% |
4発の期待値（ピントレンズ・光の粉）
| n発分 | 期待値 | 累計 |
|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100.0% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 99.4% |
| 2 | 13.1% | 95.1% |
| 3 | 23.3% | 82.0% |
| 4 | 26.6% | 58.7% |
| 5 | 19.8% | 32.1% |
| 6 | 9.4% | 12.3% |
| 7 | 2.6% | 2.9% |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% |
3発の分岐（ピントレンズ・光の粉）
| n発分 | 外し | 命中 | 急所 | 命中分岐 | 急所分岐 | 全体分岐 |
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 37.1% | 29.8% | 11.1% |
| 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 37.1% | 44.4% | 16.5% |
| 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 37.1% | 22.1% | 8.2% |
| 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 37.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 43.6% | 44.6% | 19.4% |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 43.6% | 44.4% | 19.3% |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 43.6% | 11.0% | 4.8% |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17.1% | 66.8% | 11.4% |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17.1% | 33.2% | 5.7% |
| 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2.2% | 100.0% | 2.2% |
3発の期待値（ピントレンズ・光の粉）
| n発分 | 期待値 | 累計 |
|---|
| 0 | 2.2% | 100.0% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 97.8% |
| 2 | 25.1% | 86.4% |
| 3 | 30.4% | 61.3% |
| 4 | 21.3% | 30.9% |
| 5 | 8.2% | 9.6% |
| 6 | 1.4% | 1.4% |
フラット
4発の分岐（フラット）
| n発分 | 外し | 命中 | 急所 | 命中分岐 | 急所分岐 | 全体分岐 |
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 40.3% | 31.6% | 12.8% |
| 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 40.3% | 42.2% | 17.0% |
| 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 40.3% | 21.1% | 8.5% |
| 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 40.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 40.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 41.1% | 42.2% | 17.3% |
| 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 41.1% | 42.2% | 17.3% |
| 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 41.1% | 14.1% | 5.8% |
| 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 41.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15.7% | 56.3% | 8.8% |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15.7% | 37.5% | 5.9% |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15.7% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2.7% | 75.0% | 2.0% |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2.7% | 25.0% | 0.7% |
| 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.2% | 100.0% | 0.2% |
4発の期待値（フラット）
| n発分 | 期待値 | 累計 |
|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100.0% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 99.8% |
| 2 | 9.5% | 97.8% |
| 3 | 23.2% | 88.3% |
| 4 | 31.1% | 65.1% |
| 5 | 22.8% | 34.0% |
| 6 | 9.1% | 11.2% |
| 7 | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% |
3発の分岐（フラット）
| n発分 | 外し | 命中 | 急所 | 命中分岐 | 急所分岐 | 全体分岐 |
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 50.6% | 42.2% | 21.3% |
| 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 50.6% | 42.2% | 21.3% |
| 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 50.6% | 14.1% | 7.1% |
| 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 50.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 38.7% | 56.3% | 21.8% |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 38.7% | 37.5% | 14.5% |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 38.7% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9.9% | 75.0% | 7.4% |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9.9% | 25.0% | 2.5% |
| 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.8% | 100.0% | 0.8% |
3発の期待値（フラット）
| n発分 | 期待値 | 累計 |
|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100.0% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 99.2% |
| 2 | 24.2% | 91.8% |
| 3 | 35.9% | 67.5% |
| 4 | 23.8% | 31.7% |
| 5 | 7.1% | 7.9% |
| 6 | 0.8% | 0.8% |
光の粉
4発の分岐（光の粉）
| n発分 | 外し | 命中 | 急所 | 命中分岐 | 急所分岐 | 全体分岐 |
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 26.7% | 31.6% | 8.4% |
| 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 26.7% | 42.2% | 11.3% |
| 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 26.7% | 21.1% | 5.6% |
| 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 26.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 26.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 41.8% | 42.2% | 17.6% |
| 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 41.8% | 42.2% | 17.6% |
| 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 41.8% | 14.1% | 5.9% |
| 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 41.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 24.5% | 56.3% | 13.8% |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 24.5% | 37.5% | 9.2% |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24.5% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.4% | 75.0% | 4.8% |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6.4% | 25.0% | 1.6% |
| 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.6% | 100.0% | 0.6% |
4発の期待値（光の粉）
| n発分 | 期待値 | 累計 |
|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100.0% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 99.4% |
| 2 | 15.4% | 94.6% |
| 3 | 26.8% | 79.2% |
| 4 | 27.6% | 52.4% |
| 5 | 17.1% | 24.8% |
| 6 | 6.3% | 7.6% |
| 7 | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% |
3発の分岐（光の粉）
| n発分 | 外し | 命中 | 急所 | 命中分岐 | 急所分岐 | 全体分岐 |
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 37.1% | 42.2% | 15.7% |
| 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 37.1% | 42.2% | 15.7% |
| 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 37.1% | 14.1% | 5.2% |
| 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 37.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 43.6% | 56.3% | 24.5% |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 43.6% | 37.5% | 16.3% |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 43.6% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17.1% | 75.0% | 12.8% |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17.1% | 25.0% | 4.3% |
| 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2.2% | 100.0% | 2.2% |
3発の期待値（光の粉）
| n発分 | 期待値 | 累計 |
|---|
| 0 | 2.2% | 100.0% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 97.8% |
| 2 | 28.8% | 85.0% |
| 3 | 32.0% | 56.2% |
| 4 | 18.4% | 24.2% |
| 5 | 5.2% | 5.8% |
| 6 | 0.6% | 0.6% |